Market On Open, Wednesday 4 February

DISCLAIMER: This note is intended for US recipients only and, in particular, is not directed at, nor intended to be relied upon by any UK recipients. Any information or analysis in this note is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any securities. Nothing in this note is intended to be investment advice and nor should it be relied upon to make investment decisions. Cestrian Capital Research, Inc., its employees, agents or affiliates, including the author of this note, or related persons, may have a position in any stocks, security, or financial instrument referenced in this note. Any opinions, analyses, or probabilities expressed in this note are those of the author as of the note's date of publication and are subject to change without notice. Companies referenced in this note or their employees or affiliates may be customers of Cestrian Capital Research, Inc. Cestrian Capital Research, Inc. values both its independence and transparency and does not believe that this presents a material potential conflict of interest or impacts the content of its research or publications.

North America Done, Now For Asia

by Alex King, CEO, Cestrian Capital Research, Inc

OK so now the North American trade war is deferred by a month. Meaning the market reaction Friday afternoon and most of Monday was another superb opportunity to either hedge at the highs of Friday and take short gains early Monday, and/or buy the dip early Monday and maybe sell late Monday.

Welcome to 2025.

I think we can probably say of the above - 2025 Be Like That Tho.

Now we have US/China on deck. At the moment 10% tariffs here and there in either direction isn’t all that spooky to markets so things are fairly quiet at the time of writing. Just a little sparring between the opponents, is how it looks to markets.

The 10yr yield is up a little, oil down for now but holding over a key support level so let’s see, and the Vix is meandering around doing nothing much (typical bipolar, not sure what to do if it’s not in a full on crisis or post-crisis lump into wanton abandonment).

Before we get to work on today’s charts I want to flag that our Trading Gains long/short ETF service sees prices rise substantially at midnight Wednesday. So a great time to join to lock in the current low prices! Details below.

Prices Rise For Our “Trading Gains” Service At Midnight On Wednesday 5 February

This long/short ETF trading service is earning fantastic subscriber testimonials. I would encourage you to read the latest, here. Prices rise midnight Wednesday for new joiners - existing members keep their original price. The sooner you join, the less you pay.

Short- And Medium-Term Market Analysis

If you want this daily dose of pattern recognition, and you aren’t yet a subscriber of course, you can read about and choose from all the subscription services that include this note, here.